PARIS (AFP) – A punishing mix of heat and humidity that makes outdoor labour difficult and dangerous is causing around 677 billion lost working hours a year around the world, according to a new study on Thursday (Jan 13), warning that climate change is making it worse.
Researchers in the United States, who estimated the current cost at US$2.1 trillion (S$2.8 trillion) every year, said that the negative effects of stifling temperatures on people doing heavy work in agriculture and construction had been underestimated.
The new figures come amid a growing focus on the severe health impacts of climate change, not just as projections of future harm from heatwaves and other extreme events, but also as consequences already playing out across a warming world.
The study, published in the journal Environmental Research Letters, looked at data on humid heat – particularly dangerous because the body is less able to cool down by sweating.
Researchers estimated the number of workers exposed to unsafe levels over the 20 years to 2020, as well as the impact on labour, compared with the period from 1981 to 2000.
Researchers incorporated the findings from laboratory-based research published last year that suggest productivity drops off at lower temperature and humidity levels than previously thought.
They found that between 2001 and 2020, exposure to high humidity and heat was linked to approximately 677 billion lost working hours a year in heavy outdoor labour.
It suggested that almost three-quarters of the global working-age population are already living in locations where background climate conditions are associated with about a hundred hours of heat-associated lost work per person per year.
“If outdoor workers are losing productivity at these lower temperature and humidity levels, then labour losses in the tropics could be as high as 500 to 600 hours per person per year, which is over twice as high as previous estimates,” said lead researcher Luke Parsons of Duke University.
The research found that India currently loses around 259 billion hours annually due to the impacts of humid heat on labour, while China loses 72 billion hours and Bangladesh loses 32 billion hours.
Over the last four decades, as global temperatures have risen, the study found heat-related labour losses have increased by at least 9 per cent.
The authors estimate that climate change is to blame for an additional 25 billion working hours lost annually in India over the last 20 years compared with the previous 20 years, and an extra four billion hours a year in China over the same period.
Dr Parsons said other hot and humid regions such as the south-eastern United States could also be experiencing significant labour losses as well.
“These results imply that we don’t have to wait for 1.5 deg C of global warming to experience impacts of climate change on labour and the economy,” he said.
“The warming we’ve already experienced may be associated with large-scale background labour losses. Additional future warming magnifies these impacts.”